Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis for Currency Traders

Currencies respond to relative expectations. What matters is not the level of a data point but how it compares with what the market had already priced.

PSPips School Editorial9 min read
Fundamental Analysis for Currency Traders

Interest rate expectations lead

Currency direction typically tracks the expected path of policy rates rather than the current rate. Forward-looking market pricing is therefore more informative than the last decision.

Surprise, not level, moves price

An inflation print above consensus can move a currency even if the absolute figure is falling. Consensus expectations are the reference point.

Frequently asked questions

Do I need fundamentals if I trade technically?

Even technically-driven traders benefit from knowing when high-impact releases are scheduled, since liquidity and spreads change around them.

PS

Pips School Editorial

The Pips School editorial team writes independent educational material on forex markets, broker selection and risk management.

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